The Michigan State Spartans are hosted by the Michigan Wolverines tonight at 7 p.m., where the rivals meet up for the first time this season.
Crisler Arena in Ann Arbor is sold out to host this classic match up, but the fans dressed in maize may be leaving blue when the Spartans come away with the win.
This game comes at an interesting time–both teams are ranked this year, MSU sitting at #7 and U of M at #19, and are coming off losses that many may argue should have been victories. However, MSU’s loss to Northwestern and U of M’s loss to Iowa speaks to the potential both teams have on the road, which while questionable, still favors the Spartans.
Although MSU lost their last game to Northwestern on the road, MSU is still a better road team than the Wolverines. Michigan’s most recent loss on the road was to Iowa, and let’s not forget that MSU beat Iowa by a comfortable 34 points. Other notable road wins for the Spartans include beating Wisconsin in overtime, 63-60, and Nebraska, where the Spartans won 68-55.
The overtime win against Wisconsin proves that MSU is a team that can not only play well on the road (a known difficulty in college basketball), but play under the pressure of overtime and still find a way to win.
Michigan on the other hand, has lost every road game they have played this season. The Wolverines lost to Duke in the Maui Invitational (if you want to consider that a road game, I personally don’t count it), they lost at Virginia in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge, and more recently in conference play they have lost to both Indiana and Iowa on the road. Over the last decade, U of M has been a weak road team, and at this point in the season, the trend is continuing.
Player for player, you could argue MSU and U of M are fairly evenly matched, but when game time rolls around, it’s simply execution that matters, and MSU prevails here.
MSU Coach Tom Izzo often runs pick-and-roll plays, and sets the allow the bigger men to post up on their defenders, and with the size of the post players like Derrick Nix for MSU, and Jordan Morgan for Michigan, the match up should be interesting. Based on experience, though, MSU’s offense will likely be favored over Michigan’s defense, especially if they play man-to-man.
The Wolverines run a perimeter offense with quick passes along the outside, resulting in the most open man attempting a three-pointer. Coach John Beilein has run this system since he started at U of M and it can be successful with players like seniors Zack Novak and Stu Douglass, and more recently Tim Hardaway Jr., a sophomore.
However, Douglass has often been replaced this season by sophomore, Evan Smotrycz, who claimed his fame when he shot the lights out against MSU last year at Crisler Arena. But when key players and leaders and being replaced by fairly consistent, but inexperienced players who are meant to lead the system, the system has potential to fail. With MSU’s new and improved defense, Michigan will surely be held to the perimeter and forced to make their system work…the only question is, will it?
~Maddie Fetchiet, The Big Green